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Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Lockdowns Knock Down the Spread of COVID-19, but Only to a Point (and only early on)

by Mike Thurber and John Elder, Ph.D.By tracking anonymized mobile phone location data and COVID-19 case reports for many countries with different policies, we studied the effect of restricting mobility on the spread of COVID-19. We found that lockdown policies did rapidly reduce the Covid reproduction ratio, R, but only up until ~3 days before a country’s peak daily…See More

Jun 7

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Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Visualizing the Performance of COVID Models

by Chris McLean & Peter BruceNever before have statistical models received the attention they are getting now in the midst of the Coronavirus pandemic. It is hard to read a news feed today without encountering either:New predictions from models such as the IHME model and others, orCritiques of older predictions.So – how have older predictions turned out? If you’ve…See More

Jun 4

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Shubham Srivastava liked Paul Derstine's blog post Coronavirus: Age and Health

May 31

Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Is the Spread of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Being Slowed?

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder ResearchThe COVID-19 pandemic has created a need for clear and actionable analytics like never before. The world can’t wait for controlled scientific studies to be completed, or dodge with, “We can’t say anything until we get more data.” To discover true relationships, we’d love to have detailed structured public data. But we…See More

May 24

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Brent Matthysen liked Paul Derstine's blog post Coronavirus: Age and Health

May 21

Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Coronavirus: Age and Health

by Peter Bruce, President & Founder, Statistics.comAlthough there are frequent reports in the news media of young people contracting serious cases of COVID-19 and even dying, the disease in its serious form is overwhelmingly a disease of older people. Data on US deaths from the U. S. Centers for Disease Control in Figure 1 portray this vividly. (We focus on deaths…See More

May 21

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Kriti Pawar liked Paul Derstine's blog post COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications

May 18

Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

COVID-19 Social Distancing Has Mitigated 2020 Flu Season

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder ResearchThree weeks ago, our Brief Is the Spread of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Being Slowed looked at the impact of social distancing on the flu. Evidence showed that the unprecedented measures taken by the government are having the…See More

May 17

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Shubham Srivastava liked Paul Derstine's blog post Covid-19: Epidemiological Models vs. Statistical Models

May 17

Shubham Srivastava liked Paul Derstine's blog post COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications

May 17

Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

COVID-19: Tuesday Blips in a “Downward Trajectory”

by Carl Hoover, Senior Advisor, Elder ResearchWe observe a peculiar counter-fluctuation in a COVID-19 statistic -- daily percent changes in deaths; it has a downward trend, but Tuesdays tend to see small increases.COVID-19 death counts continue to increase. Figure 1a shows total U.S. deaths over the last 7 weeks along with the daily increase in deaths (dashed line).…See More

May 14

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Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Covid-19: Epidemiological Models vs. Statistical Models

by Peter Bruce, President & Founder, Statistics.comNearly everyone is now familiar with the IHME Covid-19 forecasts (also called the “Murray” model after the lead project investigator at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation), and perhaps its associated interactive visualizations. Many of…See More

May 10

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Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder ResearchA key issue for COVID-19 response policies moving forward is the asymptomatic rate - people who have the virus but do not show symptoms. If all the people who get the virus show symptoms, then despite the wide scope of the current outbreak, we have a long way to go. In New York state, the virus epicenter in the U.S.,…See More

May 7

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Paul Derstine posted a blog post

How to Pick a Winning March Madness Bracket

by Robert Robison, Data Analyst, Elder Research In 2019, over 40 million Americans wagered money on March Madness brackets, according to the American Gaming Association. Most of this money was bet in “bracket pools,” which consist of a group of people…See More

Mar 12

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Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

How to Pick a Winning March Madness Bracket

Mar 5

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Siying Huang liked Paul Derstine's blog post Detecting Hidden Fraud Risk from Public Data

Dec 19, 2019

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Paul Derstine's Page

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Lockdowns Knock Down the Spread of COVID-19, but Only to a Point (and only early on)

Visualizing the Performance of COVID Models

Is the Spread of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Being Slowed?

Coronavirus: Age and Health

COVID-19 Social Distancing Has Mitigated 2020 Flu Season

COVID-19: Tuesday Blips in a “Downward Trajectory”

Covid-19: Epidemiological Models vs. Statistical Models

COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications

How to Pick a Winning March Madness Bracket

How to Pick a Winning March Madness Bracket

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Paul Derstine's Blog

Visualizing the Performance of COVID Models

Lockdowns Knock Down the Spread of COVID-19, but Only to a Point (and only early on)

COVID-19: Tuesday Blips in a “Downward Trajectory”

COVID-19 Social Distancing Has Mitigated 2020 Flu Season

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