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Paul Derstine
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Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Lockdowns Knock Down the Spread of COVID-19, but Only to a Point (and only early on)

by Mike Thurber and John Elder, Ph.D.By tracking anonymized mobile phone location data and COVID-19 case reports for many countries with different policies, we studied the effect of restricting mobility on the spread of COVID-19.  We found that lockdown policies did rapidly reduce the Covid reproduction ratio, R, but only up until ~3 days before a country’s peak daily…See More
Jun 7
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Visualizing the Performance of COVID Models

by Chris McLean & Peter BruceNever before have statistical models received the attention they are getting now in the midst of the Coronavirus pandemic.  It is hard to read a news feed today without encountering either:New predictions from models such as the IHME model and others, orCritiques of older predictions.So – how have older predictions turned out? If you’ve…See More
Jun 4
Shubham Srivastava liked Paul Derstine's blog post Coronavirus: Age and Health
May 31
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Is the Spread of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Being Slowed?

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder ResearchThe COVID-19 pandemic has created a need for clear and actionable analytics like never before. The world can’t wait for controlled scientific studies to be completed, or dodge with, “We can’t say anything until we get more data.” To discover true relationships, we’d love to have detailed structured public data. But we…See More
May 24
Brent Matthysen liked Paul Derstine's blog post Coronavirus: Age and Health
May 21
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Coronavirus: Age and Health

by Peter Bruce, President & Founder, Statistics.comAlthough there are frequent reports in the news media of young people contracting serious cases of COVID-19 and even dying, the disease in its serious form is overwhelmingly a disease of older people.  Data on US deaths from the U. S. Centers for Disease Control in Figure 1 portray this vividly. (We focus on deaths…See More
May 21
Kriti Pawar liked Paul Derstine's blog post COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications
May 18
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

COVID-19 Social Distancing Has Mitigated 2020 Flu Season

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder ResearchThree weeks ago, our Brief Is the Spread of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Being Slowed looked at the impact of social distancing on the flu.  Evidence showed that the unprecedented measures taken by the government are having the…See More
May 17
Shubham Srivastava liked Paul Derstine's blog post Covid-19: Epidemiological Models vs. Statistical Models
May 17
Shubham Srivastava liked Paul Derstine's blog post COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications
May 17
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

COVID-19: Tuesday Blips in a “Downward Trajectory”

by Carl Hoover, Senior Advisor, Elder ResearchWe observe a peculiar counter-fluctuation in a COVID-19 statistic -- daily percent changes in deaths; it has a downward trend, but Tuesdays tend to see small increases.COVID-19 death counts continue to increase. Figure 1a shows total U.S. deaths over the last 7 weeks along with the daily increase in deaths (dashed line).…See More
May 14
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

Covid-19: Epidemiological Models vs. Statistical Models

by Peter Bruce, President & Founder, Statistics.comNearly everyone is now familiar with the IHME Covid-19 forecasts (also called the “Murray” model after the lead project investigator at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation), and perhaps its associated interactive visualizations. Many of…See More
May 10
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

COVID-19 Asymptomatic Rates and Implications

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder ResearchA key issue for COVID-19 response policies moving forward is the asymptomatic rate - people who have the virus but do not show symptoms.  If all the people who get the virus show symptoms, then despite the wide scope of the current outbreak, we have a long way to go.  In New York state, the virus epicenter in the U.S.,…See More
May 7
Paul Derstine posted a blog post

How to Pick a Winning March Madness Bracket

by Robert Robison, Data Analyst, Elder ResearchIn 2019, over 40 million Americans wagered money on March Madness brackets, according to the American Gaming Association. Most of this money was bet in “bracket pools,” which consist of a group of people…See More
Mar 12
Paul Derstine's blog post was featured

How to Pick a Winning March Madness Bracket

by Robert Robison, Data Analyst, Elder ResearchIn 2019, over 40 million Americans wagered money on March Madness brackets, according to the American Gaming Association. Most of this money was bet in “bracket pools,” which consist of a group of people…See More
Mar 5
Siying Huang liked Paul Derstine's blog post Detecting Hidden Fraud Risk from Public Data
Dec 19, 2019

Profile Information

Company:
Elder Research
Job Title:
Director of Marketing
Seniority:
Manager
Job Function:
Other
Industry:
Data Science Consulting
Short Bio:
Paul Derstine works with clients to understand their data analytics goals and how Elder Research's vast experience with data engineering, data analytics, and data visualization can deliver solutions that enable return on their analytics investment.
Interests:
Other

Paul Derstine's Blog

Visualizing the Performance of COVID Models

Posted on June 2, 2020 at 7:06am 0 Comments

by Chris McLean & Peter Bruce

Never before have statistical models received the attention they are getting now in the midst of the Coronavirus pandemic.  It is hard to read a news feed today without encountering either:

  • New predictions…
Continue

Lockdowns Knock Down the Spread of COVID-19, but Only to a Point (and only early on)

Posted on June 2, 2020 at 6:44am 0 Comments

by Mike Thurber and John Elder, Ph.D.

By tracking anonymized mobile phone location data and COVID-19 case reports for many countries with different policies, we studied the effect of restricting mobility on the spread of COVID-19.  We found that lockdown policies did rapidly reduce the…

Continue

COVID-19: Tuesday Blips in a “Downward Trajectory”

Posted on May 11, 2020 at 6:32am 0 Comments

by Carl Hoover, Senior Advisor, Elder Research

We observe a peculiar counter-fluctuation in a COVID-19 statistic -- daily percent changes in deaths; it has a downward trend, but Tuesdays tend to see small increases.

COVID-19…

Continue

COVID-19 Social Distancing Has Mitigated 2020 Flu Season

Posted on May 4, 2020 at 6:02am 0 Comments

by Mike Thurber, Principal Scientist, Elder Research

Three weeks ago, our Brief Is the Spread of the COVID-19 Coronavirus Being Slowed…

Continue

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