For decision making, human perception tends to arrange probabilities into above 50% and below - which is plausible. For most probabilistic models in contrast, this is not the case at all. Frequently, resulting probabilities are neither normal distributed between zero and one with a mean of 0.5 nor correct in terms of absolute values. This is not seldom an issue accompanied with the existence of a minority class - in the underlying dataset.

For example, if the result of a…

Bayesian inference is the re-allocation of credibilities over possibilities [Krutschke 2015]. This means that a bayesian statistician has an “a priori” opinion regarding the probabilities of an event:

p(d)   (1)

By observing new data x, the statistician will adjust his opinions to get the "a posteriori" probabilities.

p(d|x)   (2)

The conditional probability of an event d given x is the share of  the joint…

This post is the third one of a series regarding loops in R an Python.

The first one was Different kinds of loops in R. The recommendation…

The importance of completeness of linear regressions is an often-discussed issue. By leaving out relevant variables the coefficients might be inconsistent.

But why on earth?! 

Assuming a linear complete model of the form:

z = a + bx + cy + ε.

Where z is supposed to be dependent, x and y are independent and ε is the error term.

Now we drop y to check…