Here are some (very) early outputs from an Agent-Based Model of COVID-19 that I'm currently developing.
It allows configuring a number of parameters including:
(The current chart simply uses placeholder values for all of these factors.)
A model like this is most useful, not for absolute predictions, but for running multiple scenarios to identify relative results under different situations and to compare the results of implementing of various potential mitigation policies.
The model's biggest deficiencies, which I'm working on, are:
If you have feedback or suggestions, or would like to help in the development, contact me.
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